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How can we predict that AGI with unknown goals would behave badly by default?

The Orthogonality Thesis video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hEUO6pjwFOo
Instrumental Convergence: https://arbital.com/p/instrumental_convergence/
Omohundro 2008, Basic AI Drives: https://selfawaresystems.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/ai_drives_final.pdf

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