Asteroid Impact In 2032 - What Are The Chances? What Can We Do?

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Scott Manley

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Published on February 7, 2025 7:59:49 AM ● Video Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Esk1hg2knno

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My take on Asteroid 2024 YR4, which currently has a 2.3% chance of colliding with the Earth in 2032, an event that's likely comparable to a multi megaton nuclear weapon. The odds are still good that it'll miss, but the chances may look worse before they get better, and there's a real chance we can't honestly know the answer by April when it gets too faint to observe until 2028.
But this won't be the end of the world, and might be an opportunity to put the capabilities of DART into real world use.

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