The video, commented on several times on this channel, which puts the two AIS tracks of Baysan and Goletta Baden Powell in parallel, reports the times and positions of the boats in a certain and unequivocal manner.
The MAIB Report indicates in an equally precise manner what happens at three specific times: 03.55, 04.00 and 04.06.
But if it is true that the drift began at 03.50, what was the crew of the Bayesian doing in that period of time if it is true (the MAIB itself writes it) that the same commander would have been called at 04.00?
One could understand why at 04.06 the engines were not yet running, probably there was no more time to turn on these engines!
Beyond everything, when a phase of severe bad weather begins, also attributable to a strong typical summer squall, the Human Factor becomes decisive.
You certainly don't need a DownBurst, just some strong gusts taken not on the nose but on the side (and maybe with an angle of 60 degrees as indicated by the MAIB) to put you in serious difficulty!
ps
link video Double AIS:
• Bayesian Yacht sinking 2024/08/19