Bayesian "Tripping Unfreezing" Hypothesis + Double Anchor Hypothesis: Let's Evaluate Them...

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Following repeated requests, we're trying to evaluate two hypotheses that could have caused the shipwreck.
The first is a difficulty that arose following the deployment of two anchors, perhaps in anticipation of bad weather.
The second is related to an unsuccessful "tripping" maneuver to unmoor the vessel.
This is what emerges and what we might conclude...




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