A comparison of two images taken on the night of August 19th shows a lowering of the Bayesian on the water: the waterline could have varied by approximately 20 cm.
Knowing that 30 tons produces a 10 cm variation in the waterline (this figure is indicated by Perini when explaining the difference between a sloop and a kecht with a 56-meter hull), then we can estimate a water ingress of approximately 60 cubic meters, or 60 tons.
But what does 60 cubic meters of water in the bilge produce in terms of stability?
Calculations indicate that 60 tons can produce a lateral inclination of 20 degrees.
So when the Bayesian loses its anchor and the boat rotates 60 degrees along the vertical axis, exposing her port side to the wind, the presence of 60 tons makes its effect felt..., triggering the thrust that leads to the capsizing. ...
91