NEW BUDDY DISCOVERY – Skill and Move Probabilities for Palicos and Palamutes in Monster Hunter Rise
the math was rough
Catculator: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Vx313OSbsuNSIz10pGQQqJjNAJB6tk1v7icS6L_hcbY
KJPang's Discovery Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adunWW-7wFk
Buddy Skill Info: https://www.reddit.com/r/MonsterHunter/comments/mg9jwu/monster_hunter_rise_buddy_skills_and_moves/
Weighted Probability Equation: https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2729561/probability-of-an-unordered-sample-under-weighted-sampling-without-replacement
Basic Combinatorics: https://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations.html
0:00 Introduction
1:23 Buddy Skill Mechanics
2:32 Best Buddy Skills
3:21 Buddy Move Mechanics
5:10 Best Buddy Moves
6:31 Move Probability Discovery
8:32 Probability Basics
12:21 Sequential, Uniform Probability
17:52 What's the Problem?
18:48 Accounting for Free Slots
21:15 Accounting for Weighted Probabilities
27:32 Solutions and more Problems
29:34 Compromise and Assumptions
33:01 Final Results
34:35 Using the Spreadsheet
39:25 Example Palamute
39:50 Example Palico
41:13 Summary and Conclusions
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