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So this is the 4th keychain I just won. The trick is to wait for someone to play the game so that it's on it's horizontal side, as the prize is usually placed vertically. Once it is laying on its side, make sure to have the box pointing up towards you and not away. Lift on the side that is pointing to you and get that easy win.
Note: I tried lifting it when the box was pointing up away from the camera and it would actually reset to the previous position almost every time. I noticed that the claw is somewhat bended forward. Because of that, it would completely lift up the box and reset the position.