Overwatch 1 Loot Box Probabilities
7,366SPREADSHEET: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16b6ufuTY2fMgiOF499Hwwmob5_KHQwVxymv2yTl2OKI/edit?usp=sharing
What items would you expect to receive after opening 256 loot boxes? I recorded and logged every drop to find out.
• Each loot box was earned (not purchased) between February 2020 and 2022, which explains Echo's slightly lower distribution of items as she was released in April 2020.
• All loot boxes opened are of the regular variant (no event loot boxes).
• Each loot box was opened on September 8, 2022 - though this should be irrelevant since items within a box are determined when they are earned, not when they are opened.
• No loot boxes had been opened prior to this, so all 1,024 items received were new (not duplicates).
• My epic and legendary rates at 0:32 do not match Blizzard's official data at https://us.battle.net/support/article/284790 - it could be that new accounts are given epic and legendary items more frequently due to the lack of duplicates, or it's a result of my small sample size. Interestingly, my epic and legendary rates closely match data collected by a user in June 2016 at https://www.reddit.com/r/Overwatch/comments/4mbpz9 - this suggests drop rates have been mostly unchanged since launch.
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Other Statistics
Overwatch 2 Statistics For Marblr
At this time, Marblr has 26,749,949 views for Overwatch 2 spread across 40 videos. His channel currently has around 3 hours worth of content for Overwatch 2, or 39.40% of the total watchable video on Marblr's YouTube channel.