"Outgunned" - Artillery & The War in Ukraine - Developments, lessons, & logistics
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We've talked a lot about the weaknesses of the Russian army in the past, including the difficulties it has faced attempting a war of rapid maneuver in February and March and bringing sufficient infantry forward to support its armoured vehicles.
But one very clear strength of the Russian military is is artillery corps. Russia has guns, lots of guns, and deep stocks of ammo leftover from the old Soviet Union.
In this video we explore the pre-war Russian and Ukrainian artillery forces, look at the way the artillery war has evolved to date, how logistics may impact the sustainability of both forces going forward, and what lessons forces around the world might (tentatively) take from the war so far, based on the information in the public domain.
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 -- Opening words
00:00:56 -- Sponsor: PRIVATE INTERNET ACCESS
00:02:14 -- What Am I covering?
00:03:32 -- The competing forces
00:03:38 -- Russia - An Artillery Army
00:06:40 -- Russian Artillery: Cutting edge stuff
00:07:48 -- Russian Artillery: Most is good old soviet artillery
00:09:00 -- Russian Artillery: Most is good old soviet artillery
00:11:07 -- Guns of Ukraine
00:12:47 -- NATO support
00:14:37 -- Artillery in Ukraine
00:14:47 -- The road to Kyiv
00:17:39 -- Shift Towards Static Warfare
00:19:43 -- How the artillery battlespace was born?
00:23:45 -- Russian Artillery usage
00:25:23 -- Weight of fire
00:27:25 -- Ukrainian artillery usage
00:29:29 -- The Himars Effect
00:31:32 -- The Depot Blitz
00:33:28 -- Drone spotting
00:36:24 -- From the Front: The Donbass
00:37:44 -- From the Front: Kherson
00:38:33 -- From the Front: Izium
00:39:59 -- Ammunition and sustainment
00:41:00 -- Barrels and lifespan
00:46:19 -- Accuracy matters
00:52:17 -- Russian Ammo
00:55:33 -- Ukraine’s (old) ammo
00:58:29 -- Ukraine’s (new) ammo
01:01:42 -- Early lessons
01:02:24 -- Ammunition consumption
01:06:04 -- Sensor fusion & transparent battlespace
01:09:24 -- Is NATO outgunned
01:11:30 -- A plan for contested airspace
01:14:42 -- Range, Range, Range
01:15:59 -- Conclusions
01:19:13 -- Channel update
Sources (non-exhaustive due to late upload, will pad these out over the coming days):
Russian and Ukrainian pre-war artillery strength:
https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/the-military-balance-2021
FIRMS system:
https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@0.0,0.0,3z
Deepstate map (used to integrate FIRMS with frontline data)
https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.438/32.053
Examples of OSINT on suspected HIMARS strikes:
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1546014473416237056?cxt=HHwWgICzmZ7-xfQqAAAA
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1545937965028876290?cxt=HHwWhICxpe6Yo_QqAAAA
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1545587963098284033?cxt=HHwWgoC-2YiEhPMqAAAA