Could Reform’s Poll Surge Last?

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Ever since Labour's win in last years' election, Reform's poll numbers have been surging - so much so, that they could almost be seen as the official opposition. In this video, we're taking a look at Reform's current polling and what they need to do in order to maintain it.

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Sources:

General Election Predictions (Electoral Calculus)
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

Reform in the Opinion Polls (Ben Walker for the New Statesman)
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/polling/2025/02/reform-leads-in-an-opinion-poll-how-seriously-should-we-take-it

Reform Marathon Race (Electoral Calculus)
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_rrose_20250131.html

Reform Leads Labour (Ben Walker for the New Statesman)
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/polling/2025/02/britain-elects-reform-leads-labour

Local Elections 2025 (Institute for Government)
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/local-and-mayoral-elections-2025

More in Common Polling
https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/our-work/voting-intention-trackers/

Techne Polling
https://x.com/techneUK/status/1892852965850939409

YouGov Polling
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/51638-voting-intention-lab-25-ref-27-con-21-16-17-feb-2025

Find Out Now Polling
https://x.com/FindoutnowUK/status/1892534191369138269

00:00 - Introduction
01:48 - Reform's Current Polling
04:08 - Reform's Three Hurdles
06:58 - Sponsored Content