Fire Emblem Fates Conquest Chapter 11 in 3.25~ Turns
No freeze, no need for miracle rng, generic oni got a level reliably without going to Archer room (he can only get like 1 level on average going left anyway and that takes 2 other units to help him unless you have an elixir)
Using Adventurer Niles because I want to use him vs Reina in C13. Bow Knight can just stand at tip of Archer range with Camilla and go zoom with 10 mov.
Wyvern Lord Camilla is basically guaranteed to kill the boss at 100% reliability because you can use a Bronze Axe instead of an Iron Axe. Beruka is very likely to hit level 11 in this map. I doubt this matters because none of her growths are high enough to reliably stat proc in 2 levels and she is probably promoted soon.
The rough calculations for the expected turncount are
92%~ chance for a 3 turn
8%~ chance for a reset (8%~ turn 3 Camilla must kill Hinoka)
The conditional mean clear turn is 3~
The conditional mean reset turn is 3~
The reset penalty is .25~
The expected turncount is 3.25~
Stat thresholds
Camilla - Str, Spd (Optimally Skl, Lck for higher CoS but I generally think this isn't worth the money and I have never finished Conquest so I will usually be a bit conservative for one bossfight)
Silas - I bought him a Res Tonic (He hasn't procced any Res) Unsure of exactly how much it takes for the enemies to ignore him. My Silas has 16 Strength, 13 Speed, 15 Def and 8 Resistance. With tonics factored in at 10/1 this is at least 1 proc in each stat. Cumulative 87.6%~ cos. Str probably can be at base because of Arthur pairup.
Corrin - Needs to be at least 13 Strength, 14 Speed. With tonics factored in for +spd cav build this is 5 procs of strength and 4 procs of speed in 12 levels at a 55% growth (70% growth for 6 of the levels for speed). Will also likely want bulk tonics.
If you go -mag or -res presplit or -hp postsplit, this is cumulative 92%~ cos. Because I went -lck for both it is 88%~
You could also just get him another kill in C10 on the last turn and chip with the Swap Guy instead to get another level to make it even better.
Beruka - Proc speed or use a speed tonic.
Felicia - Proc any res or use a res or hp tonic.
Niles - He is basically guaranteed to have the stats to ORKO that Ninja with Felicia pair
You can capture the seal speed ninja, str tonic bronze bow its like double 99% disp, can lck tonic or something to make it 100
This was much cheaper than promoting nyx to sorc to nostank the archer room or something so oni can try to mooch some kills at shit hitrates
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